The promotion of carbon reduction in the private car sector is crucial for advancing sustainable transportation development and addressing global climate change. This study utilizes vehicle trajectory big data from Guangdong Province, China, and employs machine learning, an LDA topic model, a gradient descent-based fuzzy cognitive map model, and grey correlation analysis to investigate the influencing factors and emission reduction pathways of carbon emissions from private cars. The findings indicate that (1) population density exhibits the strongest correlation with private car carbon emissio...