The uncertain service life of thermal barrier coatings (TBCs) imposes constraints on their secure application. In addressing this uncertainty, this study employs the Monte Carlo simulation method for reliability evaluation, quantifying the risk of TBC peeling. For reliability evaluation, the failure mode needs to be studied to determine failure criteria. The failure mode of high-speed rotating TBCs under gas thermal shock was studied by combining fluid dynamics simulations and experiments. Based on the main failure mode, the corresponding failure criterion was established using the energy rele...