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A New Hybrid Prediction Method of El Niño/La Niña Events by Combining TimesNet and ARIMA

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成果类型:
期刊论文
作者:
Du, Yuhao;Li, Yihong;Liu, Hui
通讯作者:
Liu, H
作者机构:
[Li, Yihong; Du, Yuhao; Liu, Hui] Cent South Univ Forestry & Technol, Coll Sci, Changsha 410004, Peoples R China.
通讯机构:
[Liu, H ] C
Cent South Univ Forestry & Technol, Coll Sci, Changsha 410004, Peoples R China.
语种:
英文
关键词:
ARIMA;CEEMDAN;forecasting;Niño3.4 index;TimesNet
期刊:
IEEE ACCESS
ISSN:
2169-3536
年:
2023
卷:
11
页码:
106347-106360
基金类别:
This work was supported in part by the Scientific Research Fund of Hunan Provincial Education Department under Grant 21C0145.
机构署名:
本校为第一且通讯机构
院系归属:
理学院
摘要:
El Ni & ntilde;o/La Ni & ntilde;a events significantly impact human society, often resulting in considerable monetary losses. Accurate prediction has become crucial with triple La Nina events in this century. This study applied TimesNet to El Nino/La Nina event prediction for the first time. We proposed a hybrid prediction method based on extracting features from time series data and initially decomposing the time series data (Nino3.4) into several Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs) using the Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN). Based on the characteristic...

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