This research is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos. 71771082 and 71801091), Hunan Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 2020JJ5377), China Postdoctoral Science Foundation funded project (No. 2020M682577), Hunan Key Laboratory of Macroeconomic Big Data Mining and its Application, and Hunan Key Laboratory of Intelligent Decision-Making Technology for Emergency Management. In addition, this paper has benefited from the comments of the editor and reviewers.