Based on the kinematics-based upper bound theorem and reliability theory, the stability of deep tunnel roofs in nonlinear Hoek-Brown media is investigated. The performance functions of rectangular and circular tunnels are proposed according to the roof collapse mode, respectively, with support pressure and pore water pressure being considered. With the proposed performance function of the rectangular tunnels, the first-order reliability method is utilized to perform reliability analysis. The rock strength parameters are regarded as random variables following the normal or lognormal distributio...
