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The time-varying impact of uncertainty on oil market fear: Does climate policy uncertainty matter?

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成果类型:
期刊论文
作者:
Xiao, Jihong;Liu, Hong
通讯作者:
Liu, H
作者机构:
[Xiao, Jihong] Nanjing Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Nanjing 210094, Peoples R China.
[Liu, Hong] Cent South Univ Forestry & Technol, Sch Econ, Changsha 410004, Peoples R China.
通讯机构:
[Liu, H ] C
Cent South Univ Forestry & Technol, Sch Econ, Changsha 410004, Peoples R China.
语种:
英文
关键词:
Oil market fear;Implied volatility index;Climate policy uncertainty;Time-varying impact;TVP-VAR model
期刊:
Resources Policy
ISSN:
0301-4207
年:
2023
卷:
82
页码:
103533
机构署名:
本校为通讯机构
院系归属:
经济学院
摘要:
Implied volatility index is a popular proxy for market fear. This paper uses the oil implied volatility index (OVX) to investigate the impact of different uncertainty measures on oil market fear. Our uncertainty measures consider multiple perspectives, specifically including climate policy uncertainty (CPU), geopolitical risk (GPR), economic policy uncertainty (EPU), and equity market volatility (EMV). Based on the time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) model, our empirical results show that the impact of CPU, GPR, EPU, and EMV on OVX is time-varying and heterogeneous due to th...

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