期刊论文

The Grey System Analysis of the Development of Hunan Agricultural Economy——Based upon the material and technical means of the agricultural modernization

中文

中南林业科技大学学报(社会科学版)

1673-9272

2009

3

1

23-25

10.3969/j.issn.1673-9272.2009.01.008

本校为第一机构

运用灰色系统理论中的灰色关联分析和灰色GM（1，1）模型，分析农业现代化的物质技术指标对湖南省农业经济发展的影响。结果表明，农业化学化时农业经济发展的影响最大，其次是电气化、水利化，机械化；利用GM（1，1）模型对这些因素未来的发展走向进行预测，能动态地反映湖南省农业经济的发展趋势，并在此基础上提出促进湖南省农业经济发展的相关建议。

Based on the correlation analytic process and GM （1,1） model of the Grey System theories, the paper analyzes the influence of the technologic index of substance in the agricultural modernization upon the development of the agricultural economy in Hunan province. This result shows that agricultural chemical technology plays the most important role in the development of agricultural economy, and then electrization, irrigation and mechanization. The paper forecasts the development trend in the future of these factors by the GM （1,1） model, whi...